4th International Workshop
on Uncertainty in Atmospheric Emissions
7-9 October 2015, Krakow, Poland

Presentations



Forestry

Full verified carbon account of forest ecosystems as a fuzzy system: an attempt to assess uncertainties

A. Shvidenko, D. Schepaschenko, F. Kraxner, and S. Fritz

Forest map and its uncertainty as an important input for carbon sink estimation for Poland and Ukraine

M. Lesiv, A. Shvidenko, D. Schepaschenko, L. See, S. Fritz



Agriculture

Spatial GHG inventory in the agriculture sector and uncertainty analysis: a case study for Poland

N. Charkovska, R. Bun, O. Danylo, J. Horabik-Pyzel

Conditionally autoregressive model for spatial disaggregation of activity data in GHG inventory: Application for agriculture sector in Poland

J. Horabik-Pyzel, N. Charkovska, O. Danylo, Z. Nahorski, R. Bun

Modeling uncertainty in ammonia emissions from agriculture: Regional upscaling by Monte Carlo analysis

B. Schäppi, J. Heldstab, T. Kupper



Energy and Industry

High resolution spatial inventory of GHG emissions from stationary and mobile sources in Poland: summarized results and uncertainty analysis

R. Bun, Z. Nahorski, J. Horabik-Pyzel, O. Danylo, N. Charkovska, P. Topylko, M. Halushchak, M. Lesiv, O. Striamets

Spatial GHG inventory and uncertainty analysis: a case study for electricity generation in Poland and Ukraine

P. Topylko, M. Halushchak, R. Bun, T. Oda, M. Lesiv, O. Danylo

Uncertainty analysis of GHG spatial inventory from the industrial activity: a case study for Poland

N. Charkovska, M. Halushchak, R. Bun, M. Jonas

Spatial inventory of GHG emissions from fossil fuels extraction and processing: an uncertainty analysis

M. Halushchak, R. Bun, M. Jonas, P. Topylko

Carbon emission inventory calculation and analysis based on coal lifecycle

X. Xu , J. Gao



Uncertainty, Learning and Potential Policy Impacts

A metric for the prognostic outreach of scenarios: Learning from the past to establish a standard in applied systems analysis

M. Jonas, E. Rovenskaya, P. Żebrowski

Assessing the improvement of greenhouse gases inventories: can we capture diagnostic learning?

P. Żebrowski, M. Jonas, E. Rovenskaya

A method for estimating time evolution of precision and accuracy of greenhouse gases inventories from revised reports

J. Jarnicka, Z. Nahorski

How uncertainty of air emission inventories impacts policy decisions at sub-national level. A Shift-Share analysis undertaken in Piedmont (Italy)

A. La Notte, S. Tonin, S. Nocera



Global Impacts of GHG Emissions

Performance of global black carbon emission inventories in the Arctic

V. Paunu, K. Kupiainen

Global anthropogenic particle number emissions and their size distributions

P. Paasonen, K. Kupiainen, Z. Klimont, A. Visschedijk, H. Denier van der Gon, M. Amann



Gridded Emissions Estimates

Uncertainty in gridded CO2 emissions estimates

S. Hogue, E. Marland, R. Andres, G. Marland, C. Robison, D. Woodard

Uncertainty associated with fossil fuel carbon dioxide (CO2) gridded emission datasets

T. Oda, L. Ott, P. Topylko, M. Halushchak, R. Bun, M. Lesiv, O. Danylo, J. Horabik-Pyzel

Remapping gridded data using Artificial Intelligence: real world challenges

J. Verstraete

Integration of multi-source information in disaggregation of spatial emission data

J. Horabik-Pyzel, Z. Nahorski



Pricing Uncertainty and Trading

Sensitivity of marginal abatement cost curves to variation of G4M parameters

M. Gusti, N. Khabarov, N. Forsell

Multi-agent auction simulation of the GHG international emission permit trading

P. Pałka, J. Stańczak, Z. Nahorski, W. Radziszewska



Urban emissions

Urban metabolism: atmospheric loads and fluxes of major greenhouse gases (CO2,CH4) in Kraków, southern Poland

M. Zimnoch, J. Necki, L. Chmura, A. Jasek, M. Gałkowski, T. Kuc, Z. Gorczyca, J. Bartyzel, K. Różański

Inventories of domestic heating sources and their emissions in urban areas - methods, results, and uncertainty

M. Rosicki, M. Załupka

Accounting uncertainty for spatial modeling of greenhouse gas emissions in the residential sector: fuel combustion and heat production

O. Danylo, R. Bun, L. See, P. Topylko, X. Xu, N. Charkovska, P. Tymków

On the uncertainty in modeling urban air quality under imprecise emission data

P. Holnicki, Z. Nahorski

On the possibility of selenium air emission inventory from small domestic sources

D. Zasina, J. Zawadzki